Length: 3 Days
Reliability Growth Training, Fundamentals of Reliability Growth
Reliability Growth Training, Fundamentals of Reliability Growth is an orientation and practitioner’s course to prepare and qualify students to successfully manage and implement Reliability Growth Programs for DoD. Additionally, in order to build a Reliability Growth Curve, reliability goals need to be established. These goals should be based on specific requirement(s) along with a cost goal that is affordable. Each incremental increase in reliability has an associated cost; therefore students will learn how to analyze the cost growth concurrently with the reliability growth to ensure the desired goal is affordable.
Information on theory, method and application will be covered with students on the requirement for Reliability Growth, how and when it is passed to projects through Independent Logistics Assessments (ILA), Milestone reviews, and other types of Programmatic oversight.
Discussions will relate to Reliability Growth as it relates to all major DoD Acquisition and Development Programs.
Students will gain a solid understanding of the tools, discipline and methodology which will allow the practitioner to assess a system or a piece of equipment’s baseline reliability and plan and predict reliability improvement (i.e., growth) through purposeful product improvements implemented over time, throughout a test or development cycle.
Pre-Requisites
DAWIA level 2 Certification (The Defense Acquisition Workforce Improvement Act) is recommended but not mandatory.
Target Audience
Operations Research Analysts (ORAs), Integrated Logistics Support (ILS) or Integrated Product Support (IPS) leads, RAM-C personnel.
Learning Objectives
Upon the completion of Reliability Growth Training, the participants will be able to:
- Understand how to model Maintenance Breakdown Structures and Logistics Support Organizations (LSO)
- Model Stock and Repair policies within LSOs
- Understand the role of tools in Life Cycle Cost (LOC) analyses
- Understand how to handle uncertainty in input data, for example prices and failure rates
- Understand the Measures of Effectiveness tools can calculate (availability, risk of shortage, backorders etc.)
- Model and Simulate cost effective optimization of spare parts and logistic support solutions for complex technical systems
- Techniques and tools to increase availability and at the same time reduce the spares investments
Course Agenda
Principles of Reliability and Reliability Growth
- Principles of Reliability
- Reliability Key Concepts & Terminology
- Design for Reliability
- Physics of Failure
- High Accelerated Life Testing (HALT)
- High Accelerated Stress Screening (HASS)
- Reliability Scorecard
- Operational Availability
- Operational Mode
- Mission Profile
- What is Reliability Growth?
- Reliability Growth Planning
- Reliability Growth Planning
- Reliability Growth Analysis
- Implementation and Strategy Management
- Reliability Test Program Planning
- Application of Reliability Growth
- Repairable System Theory
- Reliability Growth Planning and Management
- Reliability Growth Planning
- Reliability Data Analysis
- Reliability Growth Tracking
- Reliability Growth Projection
- Software Reliability Overview
- Example Reliability Growth Application
- Reliability Growth Lessons Learned
- Repairable System Analysis
Introduction to Reliability Growth Process
- Basic Process
- Classifying the Failure Modes
- Decreasing the Failure Rate
- Attaining the Requirement
- Factors Influencing the Growth Rate
- Reliability Growth Management Control Processes
- Assessment Approach
- Monitoring Approach
- Factors Influencing the Growth Curve’s Shape
- Stages of the Development Program
- Test Phases
- Test Phase Reliability Growth
- System Configuration
- Timing of Fixes
- Growth Curve Re-initialization
- Shape Changes Due to Calendar Time
- Reliability Growth Programmatic Concepts
- Levels of Consideration for Planning and Controlling Growth
- Analysis of Previous Programs
- Reliability Growth Planning Concepts
- Planned Growth vs.
Idealized Growth Curve
- Other Planning Considerations
- Threshold
- Reliability Growth Tracking Concepts
- Demonstrated Reliability
- Reliability Growth Tracking Curve
- Reliability Growth Projection Concepts
- Extrapolated Reliability
- Projected Reliability
- Models Covered in this Handbook
- Sources for Models Covered in this Handbook
Principals of Reliability Growth Planning and Management
- Repair vs. Fix
- Analysis of Failure Modes
- Fix Effectiveness Factor (FEF)
- Growth Potential (GP)
- Growth Management Strategy (MS)
- Growth Rate
- Poisson Process
- Homogeneous Poisson Process (HPP)
- Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process (NHPP)
- Idealized Growth vs. Planned Growth Curve
- Reliability Growth Tracking Curve
- Reliability Growth Projection
- Exit Criterion (Milestone Threshold)
- Basic Model Approaches Covered
- Planning Models Covered
- Planning Model Limitations
- Demonstrating Reliability Requirements with Statistical Confidence
- Planning Areas
- Reliability Growth Planning Checklist
Planning Models and Tools
- Planning Models
- United States Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity (AMSAA)
- Planning Model based on Projection Methodology (PM2) Continuous
- Planning Model based on Projection Methodology (PM2) Discrete
- Subsystem Level Planning Model (SSPLAN)
- Tracking Models
- Reliability Growth Tracking Model (RGTM) Continuous
- Projection Models
- System Level Planning Model (SPLAN)
- Planning Factors
- Reliability Growth OC Curve Analysis
United States Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity (AMSAA)
- AMSAA Crow Planning Model
- AMSAA-CROW Projection Model (ACPM)
- AMSAA Discrete Projection Model (ADPM)
- AMSAA Maturity Projection Model (AMPM)
- Scorecards
- AMSAA Reliability Scorecard
- AMSAA Software Reliability Scorecard
- Test Planning Tools
- AMSAA IOT Planning Tool (IPT) Continuous
- AMSAA IOT Planning Tool (IPT) Discrete
- Reliability Growth tools written in Microsoft Excel
- Structured engineering and analytical approach
- Planning Factors
- Background of AMSAA Crow Planning Model
- Development of AMSAA Crow Planning Model
- Potential Issues
- Development of the Planned Growth Curve
- Determining the Starting Point
- Development of the Idealized Growth Curve
- Equations and Metrics
- AMSAA Crow Planning Model Example
Planning Model Based on Projection Methodology (PM2)
- Overview of PM Continuous Approach
- Equations and Metrics
- Plausibility Metrics for Planning Parameters
- PM Continuous Example
- Planning Model Based on Projection Methodology (PM)-Discrete
- Equations and Metrics
- PM-Discrete Example
- Failure Mode Preclusion Considerations
- Threshold Program
Subsystem Level Planning Model (SSPLAN)
- Planning Factors
- Considerations
- Overview of SSPLAN Approach
- Methodology
- Algorithm for Estimating Probability of Acceptance
- SSPLAN Example
Reliability Growth Planning Assessment
- Reliability Growth Assessment
- Managing Reliability Growth
- Commitment and Involvement
- Controlling Reliability Growth
- Management’s Role
- Basic Reliability Activities
- Benefits of Reliability Growth Planning Assessment
- Finding Unforeseen Deficiencies
- Designing-in Improvement through Surfaced Problems
- Reducing the Risks Associated with Final Demonstration
- Increasing the Probability of Meeting Objectives
- Practical Data Analysis Considerations
- Reliability Growth Tracking
- AMSAA Reliability Growth Tracking Model – Continuous (RGTMC)
- Estimation Procedures for the Option for Grouped Data
- AMSAA Reliability Growth Tracking Model – Discrete (RGTMD)
- Subsystem Level Tracking Model (SSTRACK)
- Reliability Growth Projection
- Introduction
- AMSAA-Crow Projection Model (ACPM)
- Crow Extended Reliability Projection Model
- AMSAA Maturity Projection Model (AMPM)
- AMSAA Maturity Projection Model based on Stein Estimation (AMPM-Stein)
- AMSAA Discrete Projection Model based on Stein Estimation (ADPM-Stein)